FC Bayern: Would Harry Kane really be the solution to all problems?

FC Bayern Munich has missed numerous great opportunities in recent weeks. Accordingly, the discussions about a new striker were heated up again. Harry Kane is a name that has been circulating around the club since the summer. But would the Englishman be the solution to all Bavarian problems?

Robert Lewandowski, Karim Benzema, Erling Haaland, Kylian MbappĂ© – regardless of the order, these are the four strikers who are currently most likely to be named when it comes to the best nines in the world. One of them played for Bayern Munich for years.

A look into the StatsBomb-Data from FBref reveals Bayern’s biggest problem at the moment: out of 92 deals, eleven big chances and 8.8 expected goals, they have only scored four goals in the last four Bundesliga games.

Because the list of world-class strikers is so short, Hasan Salihamidzic and the squad planners decided to start the season without a real nine. One would probably have been available who is almost chronically underestimated in the world class: Harry Kane.

The Englishman has been a reliable goalkeeper for Tottenham for many years. In 395 competitive games he has scored 254 times and prepared 60 goals – every 99 minutes he is directly involved in a Spurs goal. Would the 1.88 meter tall striker be the solution to the German series champion’s current problems?

FC Bayern: The Kane chronology – what’s up?

sports1 reported on an astronomical financial package in the hundreds of millions. The story doesn’t seem to be off the table, however. Kane’s contract with Spurs expires in 2024. In the coming summer, Tottenham has the last chance to collect a high transfer fee.

sky Kane even described FCB as “transfer target number one” and there was even a first contact. The striker could therefore imagine moving to Munich.

And also the picture recently reported that Bayern had advised the Englishman not to prematurely extend his contract in North London. Because Tottenham’s big goal is to extend the working paper by more years. The fundamental interest of FC Bayern can hardly be denied in view of the many reports on this topic. The big question remains: does Harry Kane fit into the record champions?

A look at the superficial figures is enough to at least strengthen Nagelsmann’s thesis that Kane would probably also score a lot of goals in the Bundesliga. Even last season, which had its ups and downs for the right-footed player, he averaged 0.47 goals and 0.25 assists per 90 minutes. He has averaged 0.87 goals and 0.14 assists this season.

He doesn’t come close to Robert Lewandowski, but Kane is still a very good finisher who regularly exceeds his expected goals values. What is often wrongly dismissed as “overperformance” is, on the contrary, a feature of great quality in the long run. Because expected goals models determine an average goal probability for a shot from a large number of comparable degrees around the world. That world-class players are above average shouldn’t come as a surprise.

Kane can pin balls, control them and redistribute them solidly. He is even more actively involved in the game than Lewandowski was in Munich. The vice-European champion has played more passes with a vertical space gain of at least nine meters in the last few months, he has more ball contacts on average and more of them in midfield. In addition, he plays almost five times as many interface passes compared to Poland.

In most stats unrelated to completions, goals or the opposition’s penalty area, Kane has higher stats to offer than Lewandowski. Mainly because he is used more widely at Tottenham than the Pole in Munich.

Harry Kane: An underrated playmaker

Nagelsmann positions many players in the center, which narrows the space for a nine again. Robert Lewandowski was separated from the ball just 1.8 times per 90 minutes last season. Kane, this happens more often. A legitimate concern for Bayern should be that he may not be able to bring his strengths to bear sufficiently in this system.

The fact that Kane has more midfield contacts, for example, or that he creates more vertical space with his passes than Lewandowski, is also due to the fact that Tottenham rarely have to play against deep defense chains and can concentrate more on offensive switching moments. Kane would then have to show his playmaking qualities much more often against low-level opponents and he has had a hard time with that in the past.

Kane still has some qualities that Bayern are obviously lacking right now. It would not primarily be about him being able to catch Lewandowski’s goals on his own. Rather, with his abilities as a robust and mobile striker, he would be an added value by fixing balls and opening interfaces for the remaining attackers because he binds opponents. His header strength would also make the Bayern game a little more variable again.